2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – End of Season Update

by
PositionTeamScore
1Gonzaga2.866635
2Houston2.725434
3Tennessee2.654282
4Arizona2.498047
5Auburn2.184857
6Baylor2.13113
7Texas Tech2.064025
8Kansas2.010518
9Kentucky1.981005
10Iowa1.887102
11LSU1.867348
12Texas1.829979
13UCLA1.743988
14Duke1.679625
15St Johns1.672674
16Oklahoma1.581588
17Memphis1.565958
18St Marys1.543457
19Connecticut1.411001
20Alabama1.327444
21Miami (FL)1.324921
22VCU1.306387
23Villanova1.296765
24Oklahoma St1.250685
25VA Tech1.241739
26Loyola-Chi1.177608
27Illinois1.167944
28Xavier1.152701
29Florida1.136778
30Arkansas1.119857
31Iowa State1.118945
32Indiana1.074726
33Michigan1.047225
34San Francisco1.026452
35Purdue1.009441
36Ohio State1.001465
37Marquette0.999091
38Belmont0.988438
39Michigan St0.951416
40Wake Forest0.913476
41Florida St0.85286
42Furman0.832852
43Colorado St0.821233
44Miss State0.772004
45Rutgers0.766379
46Virginia0.761728
47Texas A&M0.724437
48San Diego St0.704381
49UAB0.682938
50TX Christian0.668212
51W Virginia0.647304
52Vermont0.640554
53Richmond0.635324
54Clemson0.62902
55N Carolina0.61544
56Utah State0.57572
57Towson0.546532
58Vanderbilt0.534451
59Wash State0.526517
60Iona0.52024
61Boise State0.506454
62Davidson0.50016
63Colorado0.489996
64Wisconsin0.486882
65Dayton0.480321
66Northwestern0.470193
67Providence0.465073
68Santa Clara0.458318
69Notre Dame0.457684
70Oregon0.450936
71Seton Hall0.441796
72St Bonavent0.415731
73Kansas St0.415728
74Murray St0.396565
75North Texas0.388738
76Creighton0.385391
77S Carolina0.378919
78Bradley0.374038
79Drake0.367267
80Saint Louis0.363762
81Middle Tenn0.361865
82Wichita St0.355522
83Central FL0.351571
84Tulane0.336871
85S Dakota St0.332404
86S Methodist0.316798
87Missouri St0.309144
88USC0.2998
89Fresno St0.298347
90Maryland0.287598
91Arizona St0.286258
92Boston Col0.265027
93Nebraska0.26435
94Rhode Island0.256113
95Geo Mason0.251984
96DePaul0.251639
97Stanford0.251283
98Cleveland St0.249354
99Hofstra0.245153
100Chattanooga0.235628
101Missouri0.234388
102Syracuse0.212687
103St Peters0.211661
104Fla Atlantic0.210118
105Wofford0.20956
106Col Charlestn0.203855
107Mississippi0.203194
108Delaware0.197854
109Nevada0.196678
110Washington0.192417
111Minnesota0.186079
112BYU0.186064
113NC State0.182549
114Abl Christian0.182526
115Ohio0.177246
116Montana St0.174066
117Ste F Austin0.173566
118N Iowa0.171129
119Princeton0.145375
120Wagner0.145239
121W Kentucky0.14261
122Charlotte0.133934
123Cincinnati0.131771
124Buffalo0.131454
125UNLV0.130831
126Toledo0.127396
127Colgate0.126141
128Wright State0.124427
129Tulsa0.120225
130Penn State0.11817
131Winthrop0.117804
132GA Tech0.116198
133NC-Wilmgton0.11551
134Wyoming0.115399
135Akron0.11453
136UCSB0.113473
137Louisville0.111599
138N Mex State0.109725
139S Illinois0.109284
140LA Tech0.107373
141Kent State0.106599
142California0.098946
143Cornell0.09817
144Morehead St0.093282
145Illinois St0.086582
146TX El Paso0.086443
147Temple0.085773
148Southern0.08436
149U Mass0.083109
150Monmouth0.082307
151Weber State0.079991
152Grd Canyon0.0799
153Oregon St0.079708
154Utah0.078117
155Air Force0.077468
156Texas State0.070922
157IPFW0.070894
158Fordham0.070376
159Georgetown0.068334
160Arkansas St0.068232
161Liberty0.067161
162Yale0.066597
163Drexel0.064486
164E Carolina0.063879
165Butler0.061842
166Brown0.05832
167Seattle0.057587
168Lg Beach St0.057135
169U Penn0.055569
170Dartmouth0.054944
171New Mexico0.054764
172Longwood0.054506
173S Alabama0.054473
174LA Lafayette0.053624
175Prairie View0.053585
176Pittsburgh0.053532
177Mercer0.052768
178Marshall0.052718
179Geo Wshgtn0.05197
180NC-Grnsboro0.051054
181S Utah0.049879
182Utah Val St0.049776
183E Washingtn0.048941
184N Kentucky0.048926
185LIU0.047167
186Loyola-MD0.046997
187Georgia St0.046317
188Gard-Webb0.044708
189Fla Gulf Cst0.042351
190Jksnville St0.041485
191Georgia0.040479
192IL-Chicago0.039342
193South Dakota0.038848
194Portland0.038454
195CS Fullerton0.038177
196Navy0.037999
197SE Missouri0.037867
198Old Dominion0.037718
199Loyola Mymt0.037145
200Portland St0.036661
201Sam Hous St0.035894
202N Colorado0.035567
203UMKC0.03519
204Hartford0.034821
205Oakland0.034333
206Mt St Marys0.034288
207Bellarmine0.033215
208Siena0.032957
209Quinnipiac0.032316
210Valparaiso0.032202
211Campbell0.031771
212Fairfield0.031432
213E Tenn St0.03086
214Merrimack0.030242
215Troy0.029137
216Hawaii0.028731
217James Mad0.028689
218Northeastrn0.028357
219St Josephs0.027979
220Howard0.027664
221UC Irvine0.027378
222Detroit0.027302
223La Salle0.027114
224Tarleton State0.02681
225Montana0.026328
226VA Military0.02586
227Boston U0.025258
228SE Louisiana0.025044
229TX Southern0.024361
230Ball State0.023543
231Niagara0.022774
232NC-Asheville0.02265
233Samford0.022454
234Lafayette0.021542
235E Kentucky0.021478
236Manhattan0.021105
237UC Riverside0.021
238W Illinois0.020791
239Indiana St0.020554
240Mass Lowell0.020444
241N Illinois0.020359
242Harvard0.020346
243Oral Roberts0.02024
244Miami (OH)0.020008
245TX-Arlington0.019903
246Elon0.019763
247Denver0.019619
248Kennesaw St0.019588
249Stony Brook0.019329
250Rider0.019286
251Lehigh0.01893
252Pacific0.01876
253SC Upstate0.018644
254UC Davis0.018363
255Duquesne0.018097
256S Florida0.017609
257TX A&M-CC0.017537
258N Hampshire0.017491
259Nicholls St0.017458
260Maryland BC0.017244
261Florida Intl0.016933
262Coastal Car0.016666
263Pepperdine0.016328
264Rice0.015882
265Presbyterian0.015814
266Alcorn State0.01525
267N Dakota St0.014704
268Marist0.013835
269Evansville0.013749
270Alabama St0.013743
271Bowling Grn0.013546
272Albany0.013162
273LA Monroe0.012943
274Jacksonville0.012916
275UC San Diego0.012832
276Jackson St0.012794
277TN State0.012728
278Radford0.012636
279Youngs St0.012579
280Coppin State0.012425
281Cal Baptist0.012008
282Canisius0.011717
283GA Southern0.011433
284Central Mich0.011425
285Rob Morris0.011243
286Bryant0.011141
287App State0.011097
288High Point0.011022
289Austin Peay0.011009
290American0.010963
291Norfolk St0.010644
292CS Bakersfld0.010322
293SIU Edward0.010125
294TN Tech0.010122
295E Michigan0.009865
296Binghamton0.009209
297New Orleans0.009101
298San Jose St0.008652
299Army0.008463
300Cal Poly0.007239
301NC A&T0.007088
302Maryland ES0.006801
303Morgan St0.006558
304San Diego0.006407
305Wm & Mary0.006307
306AR Lit Rock0.006306
307WI-Grn Bay0.006174
308NW State0.006153
309St. Thomas (MN)0.005812
310Sac State0.005709
311Central Ark0.00558
312Citadel0.005563
313Grambling St0.005444
314St Fran (NY)0.005423
315NC Central0.005286
316Houston Bap0.005203
317Lipscomb0.00517
318Beth-Cook0.005095
319TN Martin0.004945
320St Fran (PA)0.0049
321Maine0.004659
322N Florida0.00458
323Bucknell0.00429
324Central Conn0.004285
325TX-Pan Am0.004206
326Idaho0.004205
327Florida A&M0.003997
328Dixie State0.003985
329Idaho State0.003668
330Cal St Nrdge0.003631
331Sacred Hrt0.003554
332F Dickinson0.003457
333Stetson0.00344
334Chicago St0.003416
335McNeese St0.00338
336Neb Omaha0.003305
337W Michigan0.002876
338N Arizona0.002838
339WI-Milwkee0.002778
340NJIT0.002709
341W Carolina0.002586
342Miss Val St0.002276
343Columbia0.002069
344Ark Pine Bl0.00204
345Incar Word0.001751
346Alab A&M0.001736
347S Car State0.001604
348S Mississippi0.001559
349N Alabama0.00149
350Holy Cross0.001475
351Hampton0.001416
352Charl South0.001214
353Lamar0.001075
354TX-San Ant0.001026
355IUPUI0.000987
356North Dakota0.000853
357E Illinois0.000532
358Delaware St0.000465

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