2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model -01/23/22 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Auburn3.3085077610
2Arizona3.2413528460
3Gonzaga2.9841001060
4Houston2.6837561620
5Baylor2.5493159932
6Tennessee2.5438319110
7Kansas2.470886518-2
8Kentucky2.1280536261
9Duke2.109656036-1
10LSU2.0162442580
11Iowa1.9879161930
12Florida1.7443884754
13Texas1.711065216-1
14Villanova1.6878215371
15Ohio State1.5981789842
16Alabama1.581463183
17Purdue1.579949427-4
18Connecticut1.574757421-4
19Illinois1.4315645422
20Florida St1.4118882385
21Oklahoma1.399092736-1
22Xavier1.3762245981
23Miss State1.32429499810
24Oklahoma St1.2975036860
25Texas Tech1.2835075941
26Iowa State1.279764047-8
27Marquette1.2535983120
28Memphis1.245159139-6
29UCLA1.233752808-1
30Michigan St1.1976759060
31Loyola-Chi1.1447951251
32St Marys1.1053738826
33Belmont1.057683677-4
34Indiana1.0503642151
35St Johns1.038352702-4
36VCU0.9974249026
37Colorado St0.995466909-1
38San Fransco0.910968984-1
39Arkansas0.8824653171
40Richmond0.878660894-1
41Clemson0.7677445676
42Miami (FL)0.7674060962
43VA Tech0.7338595940
44Wake Forest0.7176545649
45Rhode Island0.670300973-11
46Michigan0.6628257048
47Wisconsin0.638910803-2
48Iona0.6317031320
49Northwestern0.6302608180
50Davidson0.605265847-9
51Virginia0.5939171450
52Seton Hall0.561759296-6
53Furman0.54443064820
54UAB0.5114254155
55Texas A&M0.4994306822
56Wash State0.4920418850
57Central FL0.4840992863
58Vermont0.4719991349
59San Diego St0.471239233-7
60USC0.4639169042
61Geo Mason0.46092782-11
62W Virginia0.447348007-7
63Utah State0.446866492-2
64Creighton0.4263285324
65Rutgers0.4235632674
66Kansas St0.4155255546
67Dayton0.404691014-1
68North Texas0.40466361410
69TX Christian0.3759618997
70Fresno St0.3752826490
71Stanford0.367342239-8
72Oregon0.3646160342
73Missouri St0.3612764547
74Towson0.35906833-16
75Providence0.357097982
76Murray St0.3498594745
77Notre Dame0.337455318-2
78Wagner0.3354703784
79Wichita St0.328571516-8
80Boise State0.328211289-16
81Syracuse0.321745803-2
82S Methodist0.319762093
83Chattanooga0.300970874
84NC State0.2992129887
85Santa Clara0.275908667-2
86Colorado0.270334174
87Bradley0.2668500989
88Saint Louis0.2661030171
89Vanderbilt0.249838139-5
90BYU0.2487028742
91Minnesota0.226825527-5
92N Carolina0.223685871-27
93S Carolina0.2219848688
94Ohio0.21705914711
95Hofstra0.2169012420
96Cincinnati0.2106664611
97Wofford0.20973049-9
98DePaul0.2037208442
99Tulsa0.195190718-1
100S Dakota St0.19494326513
101Nebraska0.1862122496
102Louisville0.1835283191
103Air Force0.17719062715
104Cleveland St0.1712014922
105St Bonavent0.170318449-12
106Drake0.1700571653
107Maryland0.1698953611
108Washington0.1684518723
109Monmouth0.157092445-15
110Oregon St0.153053327-8
111Col Charlestn0.152292776-7
112Tulane0.1483638694
113Charlotte0.14274828-14
114Wyoming0.1409873218
115Middle Tenn0.1238842235
116Penn State0.1197833151
117Delaware0.11963634517
118Montana St0.11888813914
119Boston Col0.117839549-7
120Southern0.11758983217
121Mississippi0.115495505-11
122Nevada0.1153911456
123W Kentucky0.115233551-8
124Colgate0.1142467719
125U Mass0.108403724-6
126California0.105344457-2
127Toledo0.1044670717
128Buffalo0.1035531222
129Fla Atlantic0.0976483748
130LA Tech0.09216530110
131S Illinois0.092072114-5
132Fordham0.091441643
133Missouri0.09063180724
134Princeton0.088554334
135GA Tech0.087841738-12
136Illinois St0.08458374518
137Arizona St0.0843883215
138Morehead St0.0830702025
139Prairie View0.082793588-8
140New Mexico0.08167105416
141Seattle0.0805943423
142UNLV0.078798375-6
143Grd Canyon0.074452874-29
144Brown0.0739631473
145N Iowa0.073439418-4
146Oakland0.072163502-19
147Temple0.070964759-8
148Ste F Austin0.07084468814
149Drexel0.06960509422
150Liberty0.06463821722
151Howard0.06426078931
152Winthrop0.0639729150
153Loyola Mymt0.063061807-28
154E Carolina0.062251725-25
155Navy0.060291355-10
156N Mex State0.060059441-35
157St Peters0.0583674121
158Valparaiso0.0568931481
159Utah0.056742729-13
160U Penn0.056719158-12
161Georgetown0.0565092925
162Utah Val St0.056022049-13
163Jksnville St0.05371146-13
164LIU0.05080292330
165Loyola-MD0.0474492635
166Mercer0.0457804257
167Siena0.045644812-14
168S Alabama0.04527942439
169Wright State0.04507518730
170Weber State0.04443514730
171LA Lafayette0.044225365-3
172TX El Paso0.043490458-5
173Yale0.043288484-22
174James Mad0.043127899-19
175Arkansas St0.04286371926
176Marshall0.042756205-13
177Cornell0.04265497611
178Abl Christian0.042454372-4
179Texas State0.038990952-14
180Fla Gulf Cst0.0380911812
181IPFW0.0364675588
182Kent State0.036353024-4
183Akron0.03559734930
184Old Dominion0.034808042-4
185IL-Chicago0.033877376-25
186Geo Wshgtn0.03335376524
187St Josephs0.033174637-12
188Tarleton State0.03298369-1
189Northeastrn0.032897047-20
190Boston U0.03276840916
191Fairfield0.0324943446
192TX Southern0.032419533-7
193Indiana St0.031319032-9
194Lg Beach St0.03037044147
195Detroit0.0300832030
196Jackson St0.029593558-17
197E Washingtn0.0295468765
198W Illinois0.029376884-5
199N Illinois0.0292842931
200Duquesne0.028955983-17
201Quinnipiac0.02883184-15
202Campbell0.0287474091
203Dartmouth0.02857131-7
204Alcorn State0.02836848-13
205NC-Grnsboro0.0274332222
206S Florida0.0273141265
207Gard-Webb0.026827079-26
208Oral Roberts0.026778716-32
209Butler0.02662352-48
210Hartford0.02627179514
211Denver0.02616313215
212Hawaii0.025706713-14
213La Salle0.0256466735
214N Colorado0.02497251322
215Stony Brook0.0246356526
216Harvard0.023890046-4
217Montana0.0237079555
218E Michigan0.023697976-13
219E Tenn St0.023447598-11
220Pittsburgh0.023067039-30
221Niagara0.023063835-6
222Manhattan0.022410323-18
223Elon0.0222593695
224Rice0.022141097-4
225Mt St Marys0.02185989622
226UCSB0.021696835-10
227Marist0.0211300127
228E Kentucky0.02107067610
229NC-Wilmgton0.01927038651
230Merrimack0.019029414-21
231Georgia0.018806004-17
232South Dakota0.01858138212
233Bowling Grn0.018233783-16
234UC Davis0.0181906549
235Longwood0.01791656314
236CS Fullerton0.017625935-3
237Sam Hous St0.017557169
238Florida Intl0.01754612116
239Portland0.016799218-16
240Alabama St0.016165682-15
241TN Tech0.0160592269
242High Point0.01577642241
243UC Irvine0.01565832-4
244VA Military0.01539495326
245SE Missouri0.01537193743
246S Utah0.01477617711
247Lehigh0.014500887-15
248SIU Edward0.0142917143
249Pepperdine0.013836596-14
250Radford0.013662901-21
251TX A&M-CC0.013247473-32
252Kennesaw St0.013207734-10
253Coppin State0.012680518-5
254Albany0.012463119-2
255Ball State0.012407945-24
256Austin Peay0.0122701457
257LA Monroe0.012138446-17
258Maryland BC0.011506315-21
259St. Thomas (MN)0.01134551-4
260Troy0.0111525522
261Bellarmine0.0110174264
262UC Riverside0.01080208217
263TX-Arlington0.010348487-4
264Miami (OH)0.010114595-19
265Rob Morris0.010110815-4
266GA Southern0.00962814815
267SE Louisiana0.00951959222
268Pacific0.009424576-10
269UMKC0.0092894554
270SC Upstate0.00917321724
271UC San Diego0.0090527980
272Army0.008759111-12
273Binghamton0.0087562623
274App State0.00863317324
275NC-Asheville0.008443712-8
276TN State0.0079253461
277Nicholls St0.007900978-5
278Wm & Mary0.0074969884
279American0.00748413712
280WI-Milwkee0.00723219210
281N Hampshire0.007181805-17
282Bryant0.00717973314
283St Fran (PA)0.00717492-27
284New Orleans0.00709407-6
285Youngs St0.007008298
286Samford0.006983809-17
287Rider0.0069157790
288N Kentucky0.0068003477
289Canisius0.006665236-15
290Lafayette0.00653147411
291Mass Lowell0.006497255-23
292TN Martin0.006438125-26
293Evansville0.006431558-40
294Central Conn0.006402741-2
295Cal Baptist0.00634512620
296Central Mich0.006276724-12
297Presbyterian0.0062017610
298WI-Grn Bay0.0059679646
299San Diego0.0057157471
300NC A&T0.0053996933
301San Jose St0.0051056827
302CS Bakersfld0.00510407312
303Coastal Car0.0050920692
304TX-Pan Am0.004999724-18
305St Fran (NY)0.004887092-30
306Georgia St0.004642937-7
307Jacksonville0.00455732-10
308Norfolk St0.0041144082
309Cal Poly0.0040958820
310NJIT0.004067024-25
311Grambling St0.003525192-9
312Central Ark0.00342693410
313Dixie State0.0033780587
314Portland St0.00335319911
315Citadel0.003319619
316F Dickinson0.003310295-3
317AR Lit Rock0.00328265312
318Bucknell0.003227496-7
319Beth-Cook0.0030559440
320Chicago St0.003001465-14
321NC Central0.0029314175
322Florida A&M0.0029187198
323N Florida0.00270021315
324N Dakota St0.0024726467
325N Arizona0.002418402-9
326Sacred Hrt0.002408628-9
327Idaho0.002305598-6
328W Carolina0.002195652-16
329McNeese St0.0020354763
330Alab A&M0.001915327-3
331Columbia0.0018336425
332Maryland ES0.0018112265
333Neb Omaha0.001794773-15
334N Alabama0.0017412526
335Sac State0.001734653-12
336Lipscomb0.0016822423
337W Michigan0.0016504045
338NW State0.0016356663
339Miss Val St0.001456174-4
340Cal St Nrdge0.00142277-6
341S Car State0.001400901-8
342Stetson0.001316138
343Hampton0.0012678059
344Lamar0.0011734561
345S Mississippi0.000991495-17
346Idaho State0.0009129285
347Holy Cross0.0009093411
348Incar Word0.0008988711
349Houston Bap0.0008755557
350Ark Pine Bl0.00087013-6
351Morgan St0.000837409-4
352Charl South0.00082598-6
353Maine0.0007073051
354IUPUI0.000678727-11
355North Dakota0.0005538250
356E Illinois0.000233941-3
357TX-San Ant0.0001655190
358Delaware St2.5087E-050

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