2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 03/13/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.2043290
2Arizona2.6907141
3Houston2.63834-1
4Tennessee2.5564650
5Auburn2.4723780
6Baylor2.1276270
7Kentucky2.0924940
8LSU1.9949540
9Kansas1.9934542
10Iowa1.950552-1
11Texas Tech1.945283-1
12UCLA1.7144582
13Texas1.6964760
14Memphis1.6778072
15St Johns1.6726742
16Duke1.591361-4
17Oklahoma1.5265222
18St Marys1.5033070
19Connecticut1.4389611
20Villanova1.402713-5
21Alabama1.344650
22Illinois1.2918450
23Loyola-Chi1.2534620
24Florida1.2371071
25VCU1.23254
26VA Tech1.2310718
27Indiana1.222816
28Oklahoma St1.2064550
29Miami (FL)1.1876942
30Marquette1.162546-3
31Purdue1.157756-7
32Iowa State1.144527-6
33Michigan1.1121844
34Xavier1.098126-4
35Arkansas1.0605160
36San Francisco1.0587360
37Ohio State1.045698-5
38Michigan St0.9722760
39Belmont0.9717531
40Wake Forest0.8892141
41Colorado St0.8441321
42Florida St0.840768-3
43Miss State0.8310851
44Furman0.8209241
45Texas A&M0.8153113
46Rutgers0.7979450
47San Diego St0.7376930
48Virginia0.735175-5
49Richmond0.7324910
50UAB0.6810770
51Vermont0.66157516
52Utah State0.6373431
53W Virginia0.6269534
54Clemson0.599215-2
55N Carolina0.573527-1
56TX Christian0.5653422
57Wash State0.553956-2
58Wisconsin0.542933-2
59Vanderbilt0.536416
60Towson0.535711-9
61Colorado0.5280257
62Boise State0.5184880
63Santa Clara0.5058183
64Seton Hall0.504801-5
65Iona0.493792-1
66Davidson0.4818994
67Northwestern0.478512-7
68Dayton0.469825-5
69Notre Dame0.4517994
70Oregon0.4448791
71Providence0.431226-10
72North Texas0.428336-3
73Kansas St0.4008372
74Murray St0.3973713
75Saint Louis0.391493-3
76Bradley0.3810523
77S Methodist0.3797266
78S Carolina0.378919-4
79Creighton0.37102711
80St Bonavent0.3628080
81Wichita St0.355522-5
82S Dakota St0.3492280
83Central FL0.344987-5
84Drake0.3360240
85Tulane0.3305073
86USC0.324438-5
87Missouri St0.317502-1
88Middle Tenn0.313196-3
89Maryland0.2990625
90Arizona St0.286258-1
91Nebraska0.2750445
92DePaul0.256727-5
93Stanford0.2563646
94Rhode Island0.251036-3
95Chattanooga0.2499986
96Boston Col0.249619
97Geo Mason0.246976-5
98Cleveland St0.244028-3
99Fresno St0.237169-6
100Missouri0.2343884
101Hofstra0.230728-4
102Fla Atlantic0.21340315
103Wofford0.20956-3
104Mississippi0.207428-2
105Syracuse0.2029193
106Nevada0.2007924
107Ohio0.199729-9
108Washington0.1964531
109Minnesota0.193988-2
110Col Charlestn0.191571-4
111Montana St0.1880155
112Ste F Austin0.184803-9
113Delaware0.1823141
114NC State0.171414-3
115BYU0.1662270
116St Peters0.1605954
117N Iowa0.1605761
118Toledo0.154308-6
119Abl Christian0.1452710
120Wagner0.145239-7
121W Kentucky0.142611
122Princeton0.142517-1
123Colgate0.1408068
124Buffalo0.1343183
125UNLV0.133682-1
126Charlotte0.131078-7
127Cincinnati0.128957-1
128Wyoming0.127726-3
129Penn State0.1207651
130Tulsa0.120225-7
131Akron0.11706725
132UCSB0.1134732
133Winthrop0.112782-5
134Kent State0.1126723
135S Illinois0.111698-2
136GA Tech0.11124-4
137Wright State0.1099454
138LA Tech0.109747-2
139Louisville0.104509-4
140N Mex State0.1020247
141California0.101145-3
142Cornell0.098170
143Morehead St0.095362-4
144Illinois St0.0885212
145Temple0.085773-2
146Southern0.08436-6
147TX El Paso0.0834013
148Weber State0.08179112
149U Mass0.08128214
150Oregon St0.079708-2
151Air Force0.079213-6
152NC-Wilmgton0.0786212
153Grd Canyon0.0781410
154Utah0.078117-5
155IPFW0.077171-11
156Monmouth0.07699-4
157Texas State0.073409-2
158Lg Beach St0.0697457
159Fordham0.068818-8
160Georgetown0.0683342
161Arkansas St0.068232-3
162Liberty0.067161-1
163Yale0.063475-4
164E Carolina0.0624590
165Butler0.0618422
166Drexel0.06165-9
167Brown0.058323
168Seattle0.0575870
169New Mexico0.0560152
170Longwood0.05585119
171U Penn0.055569-2
172Dartmouth0.0549442
173LA Lafayette0.05485-7
174Prairie View0.053585-1
175Mercer0.052768-3
176Marshall0.0527183
177Utah Val St0.0509178
178Geo Wshgtn0.0508060
179NC-Grnsboro0.050152-2
180Pittsburgh0.050016-4
181N Kentucky0.04892610
182S Alabama0.048458-1
183Jksnville St0.047212-1
184LIU0.0471670
185E Washingtn0.047159-10
186Georgia St0.04693623
187Loyola-MD0.045942-1
188Gard-Webb0.043702-1
189S Utah0.042582-9
190Georgia0.041412-7
191South Dakota0.0406614
192IL-Chicago0.0402492
193Fla Gulf Cst0.0400570
194CS Fullerton0.03970714
195SE Missouri0.0387421
196N Colorado0.038361-6
197Loyola Mymt0.0380032
198Navy0.0379990
199Portland St0.03750819
200Old Dominion0.036866-3
201Sam Hous St0.03672425
202UMKC0.036004-10
203Hartford0.034821-15
204Oakland0.034333-1
205Mt St Marys0.034288-4
206Bellarmine0.033215-2
207Valparaiso0.0329480
208Portland0.032149-6
209Campbell0.0310514
210Merrimack0.0309444
211E Tenn St0.03086-1
212Siena0.030768-6
213Boston U0.030455-2
214Quinnipiac0.03016814
215Hawaii0.029398-15
216Fairfield0.02934211
217Troy0.028637-2
218Detroit0.028495-1
219James Mad0.0280370
220UC Irvine0.0280142
221Howard0.027664-16
222St Josephs0.027344-10
223La Salle0.027114-7
224Northeastrn0.0270830
225VA Military0.026987-5
226Tarleton State0.02681-1
227Montana0.026328-4
228TX Southern0.0262812
229W Illinois0.025987-8
230Ball State0.024092-1
231SE Louisiana0.0238372
232Samford0.02245411
233Lafayette0.022044-1
234UC Riverside0.021497
235E Kentucky0.021478-1
236N Illinois0.021321-1
237Niagara0.021252-6
238Indiana St0.0210334
239TX-Arlington0.0208435
240Oral Roberts0.020712-10
241Miami (OH)0.020475-5
242Mass Lowell0.0204448
243Harvard0.0203462
244Manhattan0.020153-6
245Denver0.0200771
246Kennesaw St0.0195882
247Stony Brook0.0193292
248Pacific0.0191984
249Lehigh0.01893-10
250Elon0.018871-13
251UC Davis0.018793-4
252Rider0.01799511
253Duquesne0.01768411
254S Florida0.0176090
255Nicholls St0.017508-4
256N Hampshire0.017491-1
257Maryland BC0.017244-1
258TX A&M-CC0.0165823
259Florida Intl0.016546-6
260NC-Asheville0.016396-1
261Pepperdine0.016328-3
262Presbyterian0.015452-2
263N Dakota St0.01540115
264Rice0.01510410
265SC Upstate0.014020
266Alabama St0.0139392
267Bowling Grn0.013864-1
268Alcorn State0.013843-6
269Evansville0.0137491
270LA Monroe0.0132472
271Marist0.013208-14
272UC San Diego0.0131331
273Jackson St0.0130943
274TN State0.0128771
275Albany0.01286-6
276Coppin State0.01271610
277Jacksonville0.012620
278Radford0.0123462
279Central Mich0.0119676
280Norfolk St0.01193811
281Youngs St0.0117630
282GA Southern0.0117021
283Coastal Car0.011653-1
284Rob Morris0.0115070
285App State0.011468-6
286Bryant0.0112711
287Cal Baptist0.011115-20
288Austin Peay0.0110091
289American0.0109631
290Canisius0.010929-19
291High Point0.01077-3
292CS Bakersfld0.0105644
293SIU Edward0.010363-6
294TN Tech0.0101220
295E Michigan0.010097-2
296New Orleans0.010061-4
297Binghamton0.009209-2
298San Jose St0.0088552
299Army0.008463-1
300Maryland ES0.007672-1
301Cal Poly0.0074090
302NC A&T0.0070880
303Morgan St0.00665116
304San Diego0.006558-1
305AR Lit Rock0.006454-1
306WI-Grn Bay0.006174-1
307NW State0.0061532
308Wm & Mary0.00602-1
309St. Thomas (MN)0.005949-1
310Sac State0.005843-4
311Central Ark0.00558-1
312Citadel0.005435-1
313St Fran (NY)0.0054230
314Grambling St0.005318-2
315NC Central0.0052865
316Houston Bap0.005203-2
317TN Martin0.0050621
318Lipscomb0.005051-3
319St Fran (PA)0.005016-2
320Beth-Cook0.004978-4
321Maine0.0046593
322N Florida0.004581
323TX-Pan Am0.00430510
324Bucknell0.004292
325Central Conn0.0042850
326Idaho0.004205-5
327Dixie State0.0039851
328Florida A&M0.003857-6
329Idaho State0.0037550
330Cal St Nrdge0.003631-3
331Sacred Hrt0.0035541
332F Dickinson0.003539-1
333Stetson0.003441
334Chicago St0.003416-4
335Neb Omaha0.0033830
336McNeese St0.003381
337W Michigan0.0029441
338N Arizona0.0029052
339WI-Milwkee0.0027780
340NJIT0.002709-4
341W Carolina0.0025860
342Miss Val St0.0021950
343Ark Pine Bl0.0020791
344Columbia0.002069-1
345Alab A&M0.0017581
346Incar Word0.001751-1
347S Car State0.0016041
348N Alabama0.001525-1
349S Mississippi0.0015231
350Holy Cross0.001475-1
351Hampton0.0013840
352Charl South0.0011580
353Lamar0.00110
354TX-San Ant0.0010260
355IUPUI0.0009870
356North Dakota0.0008730
357E Illinois0.0005450
358Delaware St0.0004650

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