2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 03/06/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.0144630
2Houston2.6656562
3Arizona2.6482672
4Tennessee2.547422-1
5Auburn2.530642-3
6Baylor2.1653550
7Kentucky2.1053831
8LSU1.9855242
9Iowa1.9634672
10Texas Tech1.914969-1
11Kansas1.86826-4
12Duke1.7517981
13Texas1.715711-1
14UCLA1.6610041
15Villanova1.619482-1
16Memphis1.5466491
17St Johns1.5392241
18St Marys1.5329331
19Oklahoma1.495463
20Connecticut1.453824-4
21Alabama1.44335-1
22Illinois1.4174841
23Loyola-Chi1.3531952
24Purdue1.283562-3
25Florida1.2625613
26Iowa State1.2471651
27Marquette1.232809-1
28Oklahoma St1.2211091
29VCU1.2073672
30Xavier1.1826120
31Miami (FL)1.1797963
32Ohio State1.15302-8
33Indiana1.139087-1
34VA Tech1.0934872
35Arkansas1.071449-2
36San Francisco1.062541-1
37Michigan1.0544762
38Michigan St1.0083050
39Florida St0.993511
40Belmont0.984852-3
41Wake Forest0.9245842
42Colorado St0.913860
43Virginia0.8800061
44Miss State0.870761-3
45Furman0.807782
46Rutgers0.7817780
47San Diego St0.730233-2
48Texas A&M0.685745
49Richmond0.679246-1
50UAB0.6625351
51Towson0.642365-2
52Clemson0.6303450
53Utah State0.616853-3
54N Carolina0.6110586
55Wash State0.58934511
56Wisconsin0.5803781
57W Virginia0.575169-3
58TX Christian0.55548210
59Seton Hall0.550724-1
60Northwestern0.550373-5
61Providence0.5342158
62Boise State0.5276811
63Dayton0.514915-2
64Iona0.505094-8
65Vanderbilt0.5013656
66Santa Clara0.483197-1
67Vermont0.479825-8
68Colorado0.4628254
69North Texas0.456567-7
70Davidson0.4528830
71Oregon0.452813-4
72Saint Louis0.4425
73Notre Dame0.438819-9
74S Carolina0.4314512
75Kansas St0.3955626
76Wichita St0.394372-1
77Murray St0.390128-3
78Central FL0.3801082
79Bradley0.374038-1
80St Bonavent0.3528252
81USC0.346964-8
82S Dakota St0.336212
83S Methodist0.329483-4
84Drake0.3273785
85Middle Tenn0.3206081
86Missouri St0.317502-3
87DePaul0.3027398
88Tulane0.3007512
89Arizona St0.2960722
90Creighton0.293721-2
91Rhode Island0.272736-4
92Geo Mason0.269961-7
93Fresno St0.266801-1
94Maryland0.2645915
95Cleveland St0.263182-2
96Nebraska0.25645112
97Hofstra0.2395564
98Ohio0.233341-4
99Stanford0.230941
100Wofford0.219738-4
101Chattanooga0.214397-4
102Mississippi0.2132980
103Ste F Austin0.20180812
104Missouri0.2010440
105Boston Col0.2003350
106Col Charlestn0.1970950
107Minnesota0.1941990
108Syracuse0.186148-10
109Washington0.178762
110Nevada0.1729147
111NC State0.17152-8
112Toledo0.17002711
113Wagner0.168838
114Delaware0.166302-5
115BYU0.16275-2
116Montana St0.162678-2
117Fla Atlantic0.1618082
118N Iowa0.157206-6
119Charlotte0.155986-9
120St Peters0.154687
121Princeton0.1532921
122W Kentucky0.1382072
123Tulsa0.131683-3
124UNLV0.130749-8
125Wyoming0.1282811
126Cincinnati0.1239685
127Buffalo0.121717-9
128Winthrop0.1204226
129Abl Christian0.1183614
130Penn State0.1152162
131Colgate0.11230513
132GA Tech0.1109167
133S Illinois0.109284-4
134UCSB0.1029682
135Louisville0.100894-5
136LA Tech0.100791-1
137Kent State0.100384
138California0.097237-13
139Morehead St0.09536214
140Southern0.094945-12
141Wright State0.094794-1
142Cornell0.0897351
143Temple0.089458-5
144IPFW0.089028-2
145Air Force0.088939-8
146Illinois St0.088521-1
147N Mex State0.0883063
148Oregon St0.0811267
149Utah0.080885-3
150TX El Paso0.0794369
151Fordham0.0778431
152Monmouth0.076924-5
153Grd Canyon0.076871-2
154NC-Wilmgton0.0751420
155Texas State0.073409-6
156Akron0.0729615
157Drexel0.071668-1
158Arkansas St0.0697780
159Yale0.0678256
160Weber State0.067606-3
161Liberty0.067161-13
162Georgetown0.0670685
163U Mass0.066654-3
164E Carolina0.065707-1
165Lg Beach St0.065104-1
166LA Lafayette0.0617597
167Butler0.0617032
168Seattle0.0598470
169U Penn0.057636-7
170Brown0.0557461
171New Mexico0.0545366
172Mercer0.0539768
173Prairie View0.053651-7
174Dartmouth0.05251414
175E Washingtn0.0515371
176Pittsburgh0.051527-4
177NC-Grnsboro0.0501524
178Geo Wshgtn0.050096-4
179Marshall0.049186-1
180S Utah0.04856917
181S Alabama0.048458-6
182Jksnville St0.0482964
183Georgia0.0477592
184LIU0.047167-5
185Utah Val St0.046105-15
186Loyola-MD0.0459421
187Gard-Webb0.044708-5
188Hartford0.044611-5
189Longwood0.044602-5
190N Colorado0.0431758
191N Kentucky0.0431432
192UMKC0.041149-1
193Fla Gulf Cst0.0409812
194IL-Chicago0.0402495
195South Dakota0.039442-1
196SE Missouri0.03874216
197Old Dominion0.0383778
198Navy0.0373-2
199Loyola Mymt0.0371452
200Hawaii0.03639721
201Mt St Marys0.03508221
202Portland0.0350811
203Oakland0.034333-11
204Bellarmine0.0336725
205Howard0.033271-16
206Siena0.033177-16
207Valparaiso0.032948-1
208CS Fullerton0.032482-6
209Georgia St0.0316262
210E Tenn St0.031576-2
211Boston U0.0314157
212St Josephs0.031101-8
213Campbell0.031051-13
214Merrimack0.030944-7
215Troy0.030725-6
216La Salle0.02864611
217Detroit0.0284950
218Portland St0.02826210
219James Mad0.0280370
220VA Military0.0276153
221W Illinois0.0273523
222UC Irvine0.027173-12
223Montana0.0271422
224Northeastrn0.026602-8
225Tarleton State0.026201-12
226Sam Hous St0.0260318
227Fairfield0.025816-13
228Quinnipiac0.025206-13
229Ball State0.02456-9
230Oral Roberts0.0233592
231Niagara0.02260219
232Lafayette0.02204411
233SE Louisiana0.0215464
234E Kentucky0.021478-1
235N Illinois0.0213210
236Miami (OH)0.02111421
237Elon0.0209091
238Manhattan0.020844-8
239Lehigh0.0208068
240TX Southern0.020631-9
241UC Riverside0.02060513
242Indiana St0.020554-3
243Samford0.0204363
244TX-Arlington0.020368-3
245Harvard0.020346-19
246Denver0.020077-6
247UC Davis0.0199412
248Kennesaw St0.0195883
249Stony Brook0.019329-1
250Mass Lowell0.019315-8
251Nicholls St0.01928610
252Pacific0.019198-7
253Florida Intl0.0191260
254S Florida0.019074-10
255N Hampshire0.0186877
256Maryland BC0.016905-1
257Marist0.016506-21
258Pepperdine0.016328-6
259NC-Asheville0.016021-1
260Presbyterian0.015814-4
261TX A&M-CC0.0155565
262Alcorn State0.015361-2
263Rider0.01499610
264Duquesne0.0149753
265SC Upstate0.01434916
266Bowling Grn0.014189-7
267Cal Baptist0.01384915
268Alabama St0.0136220
269Albany0.01345-1
270Evansville0.013434-7
271Canisius0.01338114
272LA Monroe0.0132477
273UC San Diego0.0131335
274Rice0.013115-9
275TN State0.0128770
276Jackson St0.012786-4
277Jacksonville0.012624-3
278N Dakota St0.012468
279App State0.0123255
280Radford0.012063-10
281Youngs St0.012039-1
282Coastal Car0.011927-6
283GA Southern0.01170210
284Rob Morris0.0115078
285Central Mich0.011333-14
286Coppin State0.0112514
287SIU Edward0.011206-4
288High Point0.011022-24
289Austin Peay0.011009-20
290American0.0109636
291Norfolk St0.0107749
292New Orleans0.010582-3
293E Michigan0.010097-16
294TN Tech0.009889-3
295Binghamton0.0098130
296CS Bakersfld0.0092122
297Bryant0.0089320
298Army0.008662-4
299Maryland ES0.008107-12
300San Jose St0.0076661
301Cal Poly0.0074674
302NC A&T0.0070881
303San Diego0.006558-4
304AR Lit Rock0.00645420
305WI-Grn Bay0.006319-1
306Sac State0.0061875
307Wm & Mary0.00602-5
308St. Thomas (MN)0.005949-2
309NW State0.0059463
310Central Ark0.005583
311Citadel0.0055636
312Grambling St0.0054852
313St Fran (NY)0.005298-5
314Houston Bap0.0052427
315Lipscomb0.005173
316Beth-Cook0.005095-6
317St Fran (PA)0.005016-8
318TN Martin0.004945-3
319Morgan St0.00482714
320NC Central0.004817-13
321Idaho0.004738-5
322Florida A&M0.004596
323N Florida0.00458-3
324Maine0.004551-5
325Central Conn0.0043861
326Bucknell0.00429-3
327Cal St Nrdge0.004156-2
328Dixie State0.003985-6
329Idaho State0.003973-2
330Chicago St0.0039632
331F Dickinson0.003622-2
332Sacred Hrt0.003554-2
333TX-Pan Am0.003543-2
334Stetson0.003440
335Neb Omaha0.0033831
336NJIT0.002994-1
337McNeese St0.0029883
338W Michigan0.0029443
339WI-Milwkee0.0027780
340N Arizona0.002656-3
341W Carolina0.002647-3
342Miss Val St0.0021831
343Columbia0.002069-1
344Ark Pine Bl0.002030
345Incar Word0.00181
346Alab A&M0.001791-1
347N Alabama0.0015251
348S Car State0.0014941
349Holy Cross0.001475-2
350S Mississippi0.0014391
351Hampton0.001416-1
352Charl South0.0011860
353Lamar0.0010750
354TX-San Ant0.0010672
355IUPUI0.0009870
356North Dakota0.000873-2
357E Illinois0.0005450
358Delaware St0.0003910

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