2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 02/27/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.0144630
2Auburn2.612881
3Tennessee2.588099-1
4Houston2.5370540
5Arizona2.4603131
6Baylor2.259076-1
7Kansas2.0818641
8Kentucky2.06133-1
9Texas Tech1.9410692
10LSU1.9269070
11Iowa1.85957-2
12Texas1.8134190
13Duke1.7548130
14Villanova1.6561080
15UCLA1.6106413
16Connecticut1.5901183
17Memphis1.5496-1
18St Johns1.542214-3
19St Marys1.5329334
20Alabama1.4580271
21Purdue1.44111-4
22Oklahoma1.428534-2
23Illinois1.3608712
24Ohio State1.3465110
25Loyola-Chi1.3225994
26Marquette1.305039-4
27Iowa State1.2696544
28Florida1.268083-1
29Oklahoma St1.211483-3
30Xavier1.19653-2
31VCU1.120031
32Indiana1.1042686
33Arkansas1.091042
34Miami (FL)1.0641327
35San Francisco1.0430617
36VA Tech1.032526-3
37Belmont1.017383-7
38Michigan St1.0063091
39Michigan0.967529-3
40Florida St0.899771-3
41Miss State0.894754-7
42Colorado St0.86401-2
43Wake Forest0.8551831
44Virginia0.843734-1
45San Diego St0.8063271
46Rutgers0.760767-1
47Furman0.7590531
48Richmond0.690106-1
49Towson0.6381658
50Utah State0.6299971
51UAB0.614669-2
52Clemson0.6121990
53Texas A&M0.5951866
54W Virginia0.5851982
55Northwestern0.579201-1
56Iona0.577351-3
57Wisconsin0.5613621
58Seton Hall0.5527033
59Vermont0.542522-9
60N Carolina0.5199384
61Dayton0.509959-6
62North Texas0.4972951
63Boise State0.494711-1
64Notre Dame0.48944710
65Santa Clara0.483197-5
66Wash State0.482943-1
67Oregon0.47525-1
68TX Christian0.4688712
69Providence0.468307-2
70Davidson0.458908-2
71Vanderbilt0.4536012
72Colorado0.444227-2
73USC0.432405-4
74Murray St0.4228521
75Wichita St0.410667-3
76S Carolina0.4067615
77Saint Louis0.401851-6
78Bradley0.388318-1
79S Methodist0.3848954
80Central FL0.380786-4
81Kansas St0.377131-3
82St Bonavent0.3718463
83Missouri St0.349456-4
84S Dakota St0.3467923
85Geo Mason0.330884-3
86Middle Tenn0.326136-2
87Rhode Island0.3080251
88Creighton0.3031242
89Drake0.2987743
90Tulane0.280439-1
91Arizona St0.2686246
92Fresno St0.2676292
93Cleveland St0.2477156
94Ohio0.2451131
95DePaul0.2280365
96Wofford0.2275987
97Chattanooga0.2215461
98Syracuse0.220022-12
99Maryland0.2147962
100Stanford0.214755-9
101Hofstra0.212575-8
102Mississippi0.2097850
103NC State0.20093-7
104Missouri0.1964580
105Boston Col0.19152617
106Col Charlestn0.18538117
107Minnesota0.1851040
108Nebraska0.1840286
109Delaware0.170373-3
110Charlotte0.169106-1
111Washington0.1624992
112N Iowa0.16100920
113BYU0.1536473
114Montana St0.1498236
115Ste F Austin0.1486594
116UNLV0.1461192
117Nevada0.144805-5
118Buffalo0.142585-13
119Fla Atlantic0.140711-9
120Tulsa0.140383-3
121Wagner0.138023-13
122Princeton0.137719-1
123Toledo0.1339731
124W Kentucky0.132249-9
125California0.1263493
126Wyoming0.1262990
127St Peters0.1259173
128Southern0.12132-1
129S Illinois0.1195938
130Louisville0.1181413
131Cincinnati0.111661-20
132Penn State0.1082472
133Abl Christian0.10599212
134Winthrop0.1054424
135LA Tech0.104539-4
136UCSB0.0995248
137Air Force0.097177-12
138Temple0.0967375
139GA Tech0.095492-10
140Wright State0.09300214
141Kent State0.0923341
142IPFW0.09137826
143Cornell0.09087213
144Colgate0.090025-9
145Illinois St0.0895458
146Utah0.088209-6
147Monmouth0.085666-11
148Liberty0.08458-2
149Texas State0.0823790
150N Mex State0.077377-9
151Grd Canyon0.07614313
152Fordham0.075646-13
153Morehead St0.0756065
154NC-Wilmgton0.07514213
155Oregon St0.0730586
156Drexel0.071668-6
157Weber State0.0714192
158Arkansas St0.07118812
159TX El Paso0.070309-7
160U Mass0.069953-5
161Akron0.06860217
162U Penn0.068321-2
163E Carolina0.067342
164Lg Beach St0.06627110
165Yale0.066238-8
166Prairie View0.065636-18
167Georgetown0.064688-4
168Seattle0.064133-21
169Butler0.0597497
170Utah Val St0.059697-8
171Brown0.059578-5
172Pittsburgh0.0574230
173LA Lafayette0.055598-2
174Geo Wshgtn0.053958-1
175S Alabama0.0518172
176E Washingtn0.050747-1
177New Mexico0.049919-26
178Marshall0.0492095
179LIU0.0485953
180Mercer0.048423-1
181NC-Grnsboro0.048192-1
182Gard-Webb0.04734-13
183Hartford0.0462479
184Longwood0.04624
185Georgia0.043801-1
186Jksnville St0.04368829
187Loyola-MD0.043457-2
188Dartmouth0.04310412
189Howard0.042694-2
190Siena0.040813-1
191UMKC0.04022211
192Oakland0.0396684
193N Kentucky0.03961719
194South Dakota0.0394423
195Fla Gulf Cst0.039388-4
196Navy0.038549-6
197S Utah0.0385224
198N Colorado0.0358076
199IL-Chicago0.035667-4
200Campbell0.035559-6
201Loyola Mymt0.035048-15
202CS Fullerton0.03458822
203Portland0.0335272
204St Josephs0.032976-11
205Old Dominion0.032462-2
206Valparaiso0.031803-25
207Merrimack0.03094421
208E Tenn St0.0307663
209Troy0.0302790
210UC Irvine0.0302518
211Georgia St0.02954224
212SE Missouri0.0291915
213Tarleton State0.029167-3
214Fairfield0.029077-15
215Quinnipiac0.029012-8
216Northeastrn0.028837-10
217Detroit0.02875221
218Boston U0.028486-10
219James Mad0.028037-21
220Ball State0.027724-4
221Hawaii0.02765510
222Mt St Marys0.0268018
223VA Military0.026753-10
224W Illinois0.026731-7
225Montana0.0264691
226Harvard0.026313-3
227La Salle0.025737-13
228Portland St0.0255395
229Bellarmine0.024111-7
230Manhattan0.023779-11
231TX Southern0.0229218
232Oral Roberts0.022827-12
233E Kentucky0.0227127
234Sam Hous St0.022518-2
235N Illinois0.022055-6
236Marist0.0218597
237SE Louisiana0.0215264
238Elon0.02139716
239Indiana St0.021063-2
240Denver0.02024517
241TX-Arlington0.0201986
242Mass Lowell0.0201087
243Lafayette0.02007113
244S Florida0.0196680
245Pacific0.0191421
246Samford0.018795-12
247Lehigh0.0187561
248Stony Brook0.018077-23
249UC Davis0.0179344
250Niagara0.017901-8
251Kennesaw St0.0177637
252Pepperdine0.017609-2
253Florida Intl0.01737-1
254UC Riverside0.01663623
255Maryland BC0.0165014
256Presbyterian0.0161288
257Miami (OH)0.016032-6
258NC-Asheville0.0157764
259Bowling Grn0.015682-14
260Alcorn State0.014653-39
261Nicholls St0.0146212
262N Hampshire0.01448834
263Evansville0.0140610
264High Point0.01370812
265Rice0.0136433
266TX A&M-CC0.0134784
267Duquesne0.013446-6
268Albany0.013328-8
269Austin Peay0.01321714
270Radford0.0131728
271Central Mich0.013135-2
272Jackson St0.012992-36
273Rider0.0129877
274Jacksonville0.01287310
275TN State0.01281920
276Coastal Car0.0127610
277E Michigan0.012648-12
278UC San Diego0.01261111
279LA Monroe0.012374-13
280Youngs St0.012208-13
281SC Upstate0.012039-10
282Cal Baptist0.011966-10
283SIU Edward0.0115024
284App State0.011466-3
285Canisius0.011308-3
286N Dakota St0.0112565
287Maryland ES0.01097921
288Alabama St0.010928-14
289New Orleans0.010721-14
290Coppin State0.010476-11
291TN Tech0.01038-36
292Rob Morris0.0102742
293GA Southern0.0102430
294Army0.009851-4
295Binghamton0.009742-10
296American0.00935-4
297Bryant0.009294
298CS Bakersfld0.008976-10
299San Diego0.007923-2
300Norfolk St0.007362-2
301San Jose St0.0063611
302Wm & Mary0.006327-2
303NC A&T0.006313-4
304WI-Grn Bay0.00607919
305Cal Poly0.0060515
306St. Thomas (MN)0.00594915
307NC Central0.005939-5
308St Fran (NY)0.005697-5
309St Fran (PA)0.0056884
310Beth-Cook0.0056310
311Sac State0.00548717
312NW State0.005475-3
313Central Ark0.0054052
314Grambling St0.005371-9
315TN Martin0.004945-8
316Idaho0.004909-5
317Citadel0.004882-11
318Lipscomb0.0047976
319Maine0.00464815
320N Florida0.004648-2
321Houston Bap0.004619
322Dixie State0.0045-6
323Bucknell0.0043396
324AR Lit Rock0.004106-2
325Cal St Nrdge0.004015-8
326Central Conn0.003906-22
327Idaho State0.00383812
328Florida A&M0.003794-3
329F Dickinson0.003703-2
330Sacred Hrt0.0036996
331TX-Pan Am0.003632-5
332Chicago St0.0035643
333Morgan St0.0033749
334Stetson0.003194
335NJIT0.003177-21
336Neb Omaha0.00302-3
337N Arizona0.002937-18
338W Carolina0.0028092
339WI-Milwkee0.002651-7
340McNeese St0.002619-9
341W Michigan0.002485-4
342Columbia0.00227-1
343Miss Val St0.002170
344Ark Pine Bl0.0020724
345Alab A&M0.001897-1
346Incar Word0.0016661
347Holy Cross0.001536-2
348N Alabama0.001421-2
349S Car State0.0013450
350Hampton0.0013031
351S Mississippi0.001296-1
352Charl South0.0011942
353Lamar0.001173-1
354North Dakota0.000873-1
355IUPUI0.0008270
356TX-San Ant0.0007491
357E Illinois0.000558-1
358Delaware St0.0003260

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