2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 02/20/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.0371850
2Tennessee2.6679270
3Auburn2.6628720
4Houston2.4693692
5Baylor2.4159010
6Arizona2.410934-2
7Kentucky2.1556060
8Kansas2.1089110
9Iowa1.9748820
10LSU1.8684080
11Texas Tech1.784063
12Texas1.744097-1
13Duke1.69090
14Villanova1.669091-2
15St Johns1.62424410
16Memphis1.547562
17Purdue1.511535-2
18UCLA1.5031856
19Connecticut1.480305-3
20Oklahoma1.480083-3
21Alabama1.447096-1
22Marquette1.410367-1
23St Marys1.3608324
24Ohio State1.341514-1
25Illinois1.315834-6
26Oklahoma St1.29488-4
27Florida1.263291-1
28Xavier1.2386590
29Loyola-Chi1.1471225
30Belmont1.1414760
31Iowa State1.1307796
32VCU1.075852-1
33VA Tech1.055479-4
34Miss State1.048543-1
35Arkansas1.0413340
36Michigan1.0383664
37Florida St0.999098-1
38Indiana0.98930
39Michigan St0.978603-7
40Colorado St0.930182-1
41Miami (FL)0.9083290
42San Francisco0.8991121
43Virginia0.819464-1
44Wake Forest0.8085870
45Rutgers0.7665991
46San Diego St0.7322477
47Richmond0.684209-2
48Furman0.674818-1
49UAB0.6635843
50Vermont0.6323650
51Utah State0.609241-3
52Clemson0.586488-3
53Iona0.552855
54Northwestern0.540192-3
55Dayton0.5398211
56W Virginia0.535031-2
57Towson0.5197226
58Wisconsin0.516579-1
59Texas A&M0.4851582
60Santa Clara0.4794074
61Seton Hall0.473757-1
62Boise State0.46738816
63North Texas0.464302-8
64N Carolina0.4628764
65Wash State0.448675-3
66Oregon0.437776-7
67Providence0.4366512
68Davidson0.429379-2
69USC0.4282147
70Colorado0.4280699
71Saint Louis0.421763-4
72Wichita St0.408772-7
73Vanderbilt0.4027129
74Notre Dame0.394996-3
75Murray St0.388482-3
76Central FL0.376886-2
77Bradley0.3689330
78Kansas St0.362163
79Missouri St0.3562081
80TX Christian0.353963-5
81S Carolina0.3511336
82Geo Mason0.3387041
83S Methodist0.334419-10
84Middle Tenn0.33101310
85St Bonavent0.31921612
86Syracuse0.3150732
87S Dakota St0.3137462
88Rhode Island0.312139-18
89Tulane0.304462
90Creighton0.2968970
91Stanford0.275742-7
92Drake0.262288
93Hofstra0.2569926
94Fresno St0.240544-9
95Ohio0.238321-9
96NC State0.2165870
97Arizona St0.21431919
98Chattanooga0.210013-6
99Cleveland St0.20789-4
100DePaul0.205149-7
101Maryland0.19595619
102Mississippi0.1952192
103Wofford0.1939312
104Missouri0.185222-6
105Buffalo0.1796418
106Delaware0.17137716
107Minnesota0.169206-5
108Wagner0.168770
109Charlotte0.1670975
110Fla Atlantic0.165961
111Cincinnati0.161571-4
112Nevada0.1611767
113Washington0.159151-10
114Nebraska0.158488-13
115W Kentucky0.157806-6
116BYU0.157659-6
117Tulsa0.152195-5
118UNLV0.150472-3
119Ste F Austin0.1501724
120Montana St0.1498231
121Princeton0.137944
122Boston Col0.1330878
123Col Charlestn0.129516-17
124Toledo0.123484-7
125Air Force0.11883-7
126Wyoming0.118815-2
127Southern0.1187080
128California0.1169726
129GA Tech0.1142893
130St Peters0.1141561
131LA Tech0.110223-3
132N Iowa0.109178-6
133Louisville0.10725-4
134Penn State0.1054112
135Colgate0.1040656
136Monmouth0.101982-3
137S Illinois0.092618
138Winthrop0.0903322
139Fordham0.0881390
140Utah0.08662-3
141N Mex State0.08503226
142Kent State0.08375114
143Temple0.083577-3
144UCSB0.0833716
145Abl Christian0.083297-2
146Liberty0.082978-4
147Seattle0.0828266
148Prairie View0.082679-12
149Texas State0.08247414
150Drexel0.080309-2
151New Mexico0.0802615
152TX El Paso0.077571-8
153Illinois St0.077168-1
154Wright State0.0766815
155U Mass0.074309-6
156Cornell0.0741972
157Yale0.073157-3
158Morehead St0.072246-23
159Weber State0.069282-2
160U Penn0.069135-9
161Oregon St0.066414-23
162Utah Val St0.0652536
163Georgetown0.06233811
164Grd Canyon0.06202-3
165E Carolina0.0612430
166Brown0.060796-11
167NC-Wilmgton0.06004-20
168IPFW0.06002416
169Gard-Webb0.0576871
170Arkansas St0.0567675
171LA Lafayette0.0557080
172Pittsburgh0.055375
173Geo Wshgtn0.0534238
174Lg Beach St0.0518745
175E Washingtn0.051689-2
176Butler0.051629-7
177S Alabama0.05085-13
178Akron0.050645-16
179Mercer0.0496294
180NC-Grnsboro0.049216-4
181Valparaiso0.04808612
182LIU0.0442458
183Marshall0.0439939
184Georgia0.0437125
185Loyola-MD0.041311-7
186Loyola Mymt0.0412131
187Howard0.040915-7
188Longwood0.04048612
189Siena0.0401612
190Navy0.04008-18
191Fla Gulf Cst0.0398677
192Hartford0.0395992
193St Josephs0.039079-5
194Campbell0.038453-12
195IL-Chicago0.037722-10
196Oakland0.0374071
197South Dakota0.0370082
198James Mad0.035519-12
199Fairfield0.033333-3
200Dartmouth0.0330428
201S Utah0.03268818
202UMKC0.03218329
203Old Dominion0.0316853
204N Colorado0.03113910
205Portland0.03108-1
206Northeastrn0.0302353
207Quinnipiac0.029813-6
208Boston U0.029375-13
209Troy0.02899412
210Tarleton State0.0282380
211E Tenn St0.028191-6
212N Kentucky0.0278643
213VA Military0.02772117
214La Salle0.027685-1
215Jksnville St0.0274723
216Ball State0.0274659
217W Illinois0.027345-15
218UC Irvine0.0256886
219Manhattan0.02551134
220Oral Roberts0.025357-17
221Alcorn State0.02511228
222Bellarmine0.024891-5
223Harvard0.024773-7
224CS Fullerton0.02471518
225Stony Brook0.024627-18
226Montana0.024508-14
227SE Missouri0.0244177
228Merrimack0.02419813
229N Illinois0.02417610
230Mt St Marys0.024024-22
231Hawaii0.023744-20
232Sam Hous St0.023587-5
233Portland St0.023353-10
234Samford0.0227392
235Georgia St0.02199913
236Jackson St0.02166527
237Indiana St0.021287-4
238Detroit0.020905-1
239TX Southern0.020732-19
240E Kentucky0.020122-11
241SE Louisiana0.019934-1
242Niagara0.019669-4
243Marist0.0196190
244S Florida0.019343-18
245Bowling Grn0.01856-10
246Pacific0.0183388
247TX-Arlington0.018293
248Lehigh0.018161-2
249Mass Lowell0.018073-17
250Pepperdine0.0180452
251Miami (OH)0.0178488
252Florida Intl0.017741-1
253UC Davis0.01737-8
254Elon0.016677-32
255TN Tech0.0165920
256Lafayette0.01658311
257Denver0.016521-10
258Kennesaw St0.0147244
259Maryland BC0.014666-2
260Albany0.0146021
261Duquesne0.014275-17
262NC-Asheville0.01409620
263Nicholls St0.01395217
264Presbyterian0.0137456
265E Michigan0.013675-9
266LA Monroe0.0134732
267Youngs St0.013426-1
268Rice0.013395
269Central Mich0.013046-9
270TX A&M-CC0.0125322
271SC Upstate0.012429-6
272Cal Baptist0.01224313
273Evansville0.012215-9
274Alabama St0.012081-16
275New Orleans0.0116880
276High Point0.0115325
277UC Riverside0.0113712
278Radford0.0113440
279Coppin State0.011126-5
280Rider0.011079-11
281App State0.0110236
282Canisius0.010943-5
283Austin Peay0.010642-12
284Jacksonville0.010487
285Binghamton0.01017112
286Coastal Car0.0100816
287SIU Edward0.0100161
288CS Bakersfld0.0099588
289UC San Diego0.009934-13
290Army0.009928-6
291N Dakota St0.0095023
292American0.0093011
293GA Southern0.009254-14
294Rob Morris0.00917-11
295TN State0.0089337
296N Hampshire0.008004-6
297San Diego0.007946-11
298Norfolk St0.0078443
299NC A&T0.007666-1
300Wm & Mary0.007631-5
301Bryant0.007215-2
302NC Central0.00647510
303St Fran (NY)0.0063773
304Central Conn0.0056315
305Grambling St0.005599-1
306Citadel0.0055081
307TN Martin0.005461
308Maryland ES0.0054417
309NW State0.0054237
310Cal Poly0.005303-7
311Idaho0.0052587
312San Jose St0.005208-7
313St Fran (PA)0.004952-13
314NJIT0.004861-4
315Central Ark0.0047497
316Dixie State0.0046397
317Cal St Nrdge0.0045858
318N Florida0.004535-1
319N Arizona0.0043267
320Beth-Cook0.004203-9
321St. Thomas (MN)0.004174-2
322AR Lit Rock0.004144-1
323WI-Grn Bay0.004133-9
324Lipscomb0.0040234
325Florida A&M0.003797-1
326TX-Pan Am0.003774-13
327F Dickinson0.003628-7
328Sac State0.0035279
329Bucknell0.003441-2
330Houston Bap0.0034160
331McNeese St0.0032760
332WI-Milwkee0.003242
333Neb Omaha0.00308-1
334Maine0.0030411
335Chicago St0.002951-6
336Sacred Hrt0.0028072
337W Michigan0.00268-1
338Stetson0.002537-5
339Idaho State0.0024840
340W Carolina0.0024080
341Columbia0.0021131
342Morgan St0.0020381
343Miss Val St0.0020251
344Alab A&M0.001719-3
345Holy Cross0.0015420
346N Alabama0.0015350
347Incar Word0.0014840
348Ark Pine Bl0.0014173
349S Car State0.00126-1
350S Mississippi0.0012210
351Hampton0.0011813
352Lamar0.0011780
353North Dakota0.00108-4
354Charl South0.001073-1
355IUPUI0.0009341
356E Illinois0.000778-1
357TX-San Ant0.0006630
358Delaware St0.0002840

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