2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 02/13/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.2677030
2Tennessee2.7589481
3Auburn2.614909-1
4Arizona2.5556451
5Baylor2.5052471
6Houston2.502843-2
7Kentucky2.3248830
8Kansas2.1866210
9Iowa2.0828691
10LSU1.8343914
11Texas1.7955461
12Villanova1.761268-1
13Duke1.719178-4
14Texas Tech1.7046971
15Purdue1.581909-2
16Connecticut1.5664440
17Oklahoma1.5230349
18Memphis1.4835157
19Illinois1.4299721
20Alabama1.4254011
21Marquette1.42471-2
22Oklahoma St1.4183522
23Ohio State1.39279-6
24UCLA1.3849493
25St Johns1.362678-3
26Florida1.333349-8
27St Marys1.3063542
28Xavier1.2908433
29VA Tech1.1398558
30Belmont1.112375-7
31VCU1.0849897
32Michigan St1.071772-2
33Miss State1.0618651
34Loyola-Chi1.0453081
35Arkansas1.0415491
36Florida St1.040531-8
37Iowa State1.039865-5
38Indiana1.001418-5
39Colorado St0.9938311
40Michigan0.9637485
41Miami (FL)0.9180876
42Virginia0.9135390
43San Fransco0.885061-4
44Wake Forest0.7911882
45Richmond0.76498-4
46Rutgers0.7349285
47Furman0.6944561
48Utah State0.67566-4
49Clemson0.640303-6
50Vermont0.6153535
51Northwestern0.600263-2
52UAB0.5908381
53San Diego St0.568578-1
54W Virginia0.5574934
55North Texas0.5524844
56Dayton0.5423586
57Wisconsin0.5402673
58Iona0.533848-8
59Oregon0.502968-2
60Seton Hall0.4976714
61Texas A&M0.497102-5
62Wash State0.493958-8
63Towson0.4562498
64Santa Clara0.4346741
65Wichita St0.4295321
66Davidson0.41896-5
67Saint Louis0.414033-4
68N Carolina0.40630517
69Providence0.3994926
70Rhode Island0.391636-3
71Notre Dame0.38228810
72Murray St0.3822830
73S Methodist0.38147611
74Central FL0.372719
75TX Christian0.3687887
76USC0.3674161
77Bradley0.3668962
78Boise State0.364364-5
79Colorado0.357102-5
80Missouri St0.354711-2
81Kansas St0.3527-5
82Vanderbilt0.337236-2
83Geo Mason0.336121-14
84Stanford0.3145772
85Fresno St0.307066-17
86Ohio0.2869943
87S Carolina0.2851460
88Syracuse0.281584-18
89S Dakota St0.2809046
90Creighton0.2763840
91Tulane0.2684550
92Chattanooga0.236575-4
93DePaul0.2351056
94Middle Tenn0.232613-1
95Cleveland St0.225455-1
96NC State0.222467-4
97St Bonavent0.22191914
98Missouri0.2080898
99Hofstra0.2031583
100Drake0.194705-2
101Nebraska0.1787199
102Minnesota0.177626-1
103Washington0.177158-3
104Mississippi0.1765130
105Wofford0.170693-9
106Col Charlestn0.161842-1
107Cincinnati0.161265-4
108Wagner0.159343-11
109W Kentucky0.154837-2
110BYU0.1519686
111Fla Atlantic0.1482716
112Tulsa0.1451171
113Buffalo0.14443215
114Charlotte0.1427539
115UNLV0.14196311
116Arizona St0.13942314
117Toledo0.1384881
118Air Force0.135309-10
119Nevada0.13362218
120Maryland0.131693-6
121Montana St0.1313770
122Delaware0.130929-7
123Ste F Austin0.130653-4
124Wyoming0.127623-12
125Princeton0.1269839
126N Iowa0.125804-4
127Southern0.118613-18
128LA Tech0.1181581
129Louisville0.116148-9
130Boston Col0.1120175
131St Peters0.111999-7
132GA Tech0.1103871
133Monmouth0.107176-8
134California0.1068110
135Morehead St0.093006-4
136Prairie View0.09246911
137Utah0.0911276
138Oregon St0.0890871
139Fordham0.087532-12
140Temple0.086025-2
141Colgate0.082774-5
142Liberty0.082759-1
143Abl Christian0.08155413
144TX El Paso0.0801236
145S Illinois0.0795341
146Penn State0.079497-14
147NC-Wilmgton0.07758211
148Drexel0.0763934
149U Mass0.074878-7
150UCSB0.07398314
151U Penn0.0733828
152Illinois St0.073023-12
153Seattle0.072875-4
154Yale0.07147913
155Brown0.070448-2
156Kent State0.0685384
157Weber State0.06785-9
158Cornell0.0677498
159Wright State0.067232-8
160Winthrop0.06549-6
161Grd Canyon0.064945-4
162Akron0.06380822
163Texas State0.06354616
164S Alabama0.0635269
165E Carolina0.0633256
166New Mexico0.062443-21
167N Mex State0.061466-12
168Utah Val St0.06072-7
169Butler0.0587418
170Gard-Webb0.05342812
171LA Lafayette0.053248-6
172Navy0.052946-4
173E Washingtn0.052869-3
174Georgetown0.052832-11
175Arkansas St0.049384-3
176NC-Grnsboro0.04933617
177Pittsburgh0.0484671
178Loyola-MD0.047545-9
179Lg Beach St0.0471957
180Howard0.046014-18
181Geo Wshgtn0.044171-6
182Campbell0.04398-8
183Mercer0.0428964
184IPFW0.0420881
185IL-Chicago0.04163815
186James Mad0.041361-3
187Loyola Mymt0.041267-7
188St Josephs0.040888-12
189Georgia0.0408290
190LIU0.040757-9
191Siena0.0402575
192Marshall0.03789410
193Valparaiso0.0378124
194Hartford0.03592721
195Boston U0.0353560
196Fairfield0.034697
197Oakland0.03439-7
198Fla Gulf Cst0.03428514
199South Dakota0.03314334
200Longwood0.0327856
201Quinnipiac0.0324413
202W Illinois0.029772-11
203Oral Roberts0.0291874
204Portland0.02855832
205E Tenn St0.0281098
206Old Dominion0.027907-8
207Stony Brook0.0278597
208Mt St Marys0.0274951
209Northeastrn0.027085-10
210Tarleton State0.027016-9
211Hawaii0.0269335
212Montana0.02646916
213La Salle0.02616-19
214N Colorado0.0260456
215N Kentucky0.02603726
216Harvard0.0257352
217Bellarmine0.02570539
218Jksnville St0.025618-30
219S Utah0.0252710
220TX Southern0.025037-3
221Troy0.024656-11
222Elon0.024028-17
223Portland St0.02394214
224UC Irvine0.023787-3
225Ball State0.0237447
226S Florida0.02334320
227Sam Hous St0.022284-4
228Dartmouth0.021941-36
229E Kentucky0.021776-18
230VA Military0.0213159
231UMKC0.02103511
232Mass Lowell0.0209849
233Indiana St0.020596-25
234SE Missouri0.0204216
235Bowling Grn0.020378-5
236Samford0.02020715
237Detroit0.02011717
238Niagara0.0201-16
239N Illinois0.019929-12
240SE Louisiana0.01935312
241Merrimack0.01930718
242CS Fullerton0.019296-23
243Marist0.0192134
244Duquesne0.018465-13
245UC Davis0.018358-7
246Lehigh0.018116-3
247Denver0.017823-21
248Georgia St0.01774518
249Alcorn State0.017665-25
250TX-Arlington0.01731314
251Florida Intl0.017202-6
252Pepperdine0.0170076
253Manhattan0.016551-19
254Pacific0.016176
255TN Tech0.016062-2
256E Michigan0.015358-31
257Maryland BC0.014624-8
258Alabama St0.0146-10
259Miami (OH)0.01439614
260Central Mich0.0141477
261Albany0.014108-17
262Kennesaw St0.013358-5
263Jackson St0.01325-23
264Evansville0.01324825
265SC Upstate0.013154-10
266Youngs St0.01264516
267Lafayette0.012642-2
268LA Monroe0.0123780
269Rider0.01235514
270Presbyterian0.0123462
271Austin Peay0.012086-1
272TX A&M-CC0.012034-9
273Rice0.012025-38
274Coppin State0.011805-13
275New Orleans0.0116685
276UC San Diego0.0116189
277Canisius0.01099510
278Radford0.01087-9
279GA Southern0.010741-3
280Nicholls St0.010532-2
281High Point0.010099-6
282NC-Asheville0.0099999
283Rob Morris0.009942-4
284Army0.0096674
285Cal Baptist0.0093028
286San Diego0.0087610
287App State0.008641-13
288SIU Edward0.008563-17
289UC Riverside0.00851-27
290N Hampshire0.008502-6
291Jacksonville0.00827516
292Coastal Car0.0080556
293American0.0076924
294N Dakota St0.00751612
295Wm & Mary0.0074770
296CS Bakersfld0.007472-2
297Binghamton0.007396-20
298NC A&T0.00728515
299Bryant0.007154-9
300St Fran (PA)0.006954-8
301Norfolk St0.0064390
302TN State0.006274-3
303Cal Poly0.0056679
304Grambling St0.0055986
305San Jose St0.0054866
306St Fran (NY)0.0054792
307Citadel0.0054152
308TN Martin0.005387-8
309Central Conn0.005369-5
310NJIT0.005341-7
311Beth-Cook0.0052318
312NC Central0.005183-16
313TX-Pan Am0.005065-8
314WI-Grn Bay0.0049541
315Maryland ES0.0048625
316NW State0.0048531
317N Florida0.004526-1
318Idaho0.0045224
319St. Thomas (MN)0.004159-17
320F Dickinson0.0041251
321AR Lit Rock0.0041042
322Central Ark0.0040089
323Dixie State0.003877
324Florida A&M0.0038460
325Cal St Nrdge0.00382613
326N Arizona0.0037013
327Bucknell0.0036860
328Lipscomb0.0036557
329Chicago St0.003274-11
330Houston Bap0.00316310
331McNeese St0.003133-3
332Neb Omaha0.003007-6
333Stetson0.002980
334WI-Milwkee0.002902-20
335Maine0.0026546
336W Michigan0.002635-2
337Sac State0.002607-12
338Sacred Hrt0.002554-2
339Idaho State0.0022853
340W Carolina0.002016-3
341Alab A&M0.001759-9
342Columbia0.0016844
343Morgan St0.0016521
344Miss Val St0.0016021
345Holy Cross0.0015772
346N Alabama0.001491-7
347Incar Word0.001271-4
348S Car State0.0012034
349North Dakota0.00124
350S Mississippi0.001169-2
351Ark Pine Bl0.0010690
352Lamar0.000994-2
353Charl South0.000895-4
354Hampton0.0008340
355E Illinois0.0006541
356IUPUI0.000507-1
357TX-San Ant0.0004630
358Delaware St0.0001750

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