2021-2022 NCAA Tourney Predictive Model – 02/06/2022 Update

PositionTeamScore1 Wk Change
1Gonzaga3.3946248930
2Auburn2.8540301870
3Tennessee2.7670118463
4Houston2.5412680890
5Arizona2.4314684160
6Baylor2.419183916-3
7Kentucky2.2676304640
8Kansas2.2659063530
9Duke2.0047093670
10Iowa1.8642847450
11Villanova1.8572496113
12Texas1.8438424341
13Purdue1.824907856-1
14LSU1.778667775-3
15Texas Tech1.6852490385
16Connecticut1.5829700022
17Ohio State1.5231389584
18Florida1.492230006-1
19Marquette1.4747647963
20Illinois1.4608436653
21Alabama1.448324043-6
22St Johns1.3882441722
23Belmont1.3729306076
24Oklahoma St1.3547347222
25Memphis1.3444738549
26Oklahoma1.334427189-7
27UCLA1.334019101-11
28Florida St1.2878337210
29St Marys1.2688273962
30Michigan St1.212048284-3
31Xavier1.193707001-1
32Iowa State1.138172747-7
33Indiana1.1071330260
34Miss State1.10606063-2
35Loyola-Chi1.0509350121
36Arkansas1.0481638331
37VA Tech1.02263421
38VCU0.948033262-3
39San Fransco0.8526336490
40Colorado St0.8369360630
41Richmond0.8126944752
42Virginia0.7955916819
43Clemson0.780193972-2
44Utah State0.7701249453
45Michigan0.7650627891
46Wake Forest0.762921588-1
47Miami (FL)0.758118562-5
48Furman0.740239158-4
49Northwestern0.6910167460
50Iona0.67187554-2
51Rutgers0.61756106614
52San Diego St0.5803338220
53UAB0.5762792844
54Wash State0.5751114742
55Vermont0.5738019547
56Texas A&M0.5421190512
57Oregon0.531129701-4
58W Virginia0.5294788931
59North Texas0.5082027135
60Wisconsin0.502991982-10
61Davidson0.4993489260
62Dayton0.4758819339
63Saint Louis0.4626428389
64Seton Hall0.4557060644
65Santa Clara0.439925134
66Wichita St0.4227834154
67Rhode Island0.417006008-12
68Fresno St0.4153756258
69Geo Mason0.41442029-15
70Syracuse0.4007939387
71Towson0.3960897024
72Murray St0.3844392161
73Boise State0.37501261-7
74Colorado0.3734544545
75Providence0.3706321733
76Kansas St0.3585650247
77USC0.351807241-14
78Missouri St0.3479537968
79Bradley0.3469028931
80Vanderbilt0.34234109613
81Notre Dame0.338568787-14
82TX Christian0.3327449493
83Central FL0.332137076-23
84S Methodist0.316448411-2
85N Carolina0.3129168823
86Stanford0.291813405-5
87S Carolina0.2865641332
88Chattanooga0.285088597-4
89Ohio0.2795828733
90Creighton0.275265267-3
91Tulane0.2651162393
92NC State0.260238654-2
93Middle Tenn0.2398080863
94Cleveland St0.2248828495
95S Dakota St0.2166658030
96Wofford0.21544653-5
97Wagner0.212025647-23
98Drake0.2069647278
99DePaul0.2061145851
100Washington0.2052381385
101Minnesota0.1933046090
102Hofstra0.1875812032
103Cincinnati0.1773505670
104Mississippi0.17607605210
105Col Charlestn0.1691431554
106Missouri0.16284269622
107W Kentucky0.1587846316
108Air Force0.158554184-6
109Southern0.1501771181
110Nebraska0.1480973831
111St Bonavent0.14328744-3
112Wyoming0.1400771575
113Tulsa0.137209345-15
114Maryland0.135784154
115Delaware0.135701192-8
116BYU0.134794928-19
117Fla Atlantic0.1294811142
118Toledo0.125385782-6
119Ste F Austin0.12349468827
120Louisville0.123042995-4
121Montana St0.11863439714
122N Iowa0.11853070521
123Charlotte0.11614913-3
124St Peters0.11294539615
125Monmouth0.110208189-10
126UNLV0.1066169981
127Fordham0.103295732-6
128Buffalo0.10289158216
129LA Tech0.1019115420
130Arizona St0.101277091
131Morehead St0.09667385824
132Penn State0.095581889-7
133GA Tech0.0953752089
134Princeton0.095099774-4
135Boston Col0.0943769123
136Colgate0.091660324-12
137Nevada0.091257925-11
138Temple0.0912260987
139Oregon St0.090938923-26
140Illinois St0.0906704580
141Liberty0.08990142613
142U Mass0.0874595487
143Utah0.0871207429
144California0.085473954-22
145New Mexico0.085380079-11
146S Illinois0.08443247113
147Prairie View0.080686822-10
148Weber State0.077338544-16
149Seattle0.075029947-13
150TX El Paso0.0711598847
151Wright State0.07095460825
152Drexel0.069324958-11
153Brown0.067400368-5
154Winthrop0.067389918-7
155N Mex State0.067369732-5
156Abl Christian0.06736868110
157Grd Canyon0.067265674-4
158NC-Wilmgton0.06602223929
159U Penn0.0648046021
160Kent State0.06076859115
161Utah Val St0.060207578-10
162Howard0.05917216-29
163Georgetown0.058377224-7
164UCSB0.05785030829
165LA Lafayette0.0560209822
166Cornell0.05570218
167Yale0.0534725091
168Navy0.052639566-10
169Loyola-MD0.0510550498
170E Washingtn0.05093652915
171E Carolina0.050204195-10
172Arkansas St0.0501893950
173S Alabama0.049313906-9
174Campbell0.0476719166
175Geo Wshgtn0.04697568824
176St Josephs0.045738023-5
177Butler0.045737741
178Pittsburgh0.04502756834
179Texas State0.0441355039
180Loyola Mymt0.042379108-11
181LIU0.042000333-2
182Gard-Webb0.04185105814
183James Mad0.0416431519
184Akron0.040647989-1
185IPFW0.040580943-15
186Lg Beach St0.0402581370
187Mercer0.03925992920
188Jksnville St0.03860704-26
189Georgia0.03796052220
190Oakland0.037402853-27
191W Illinois0.03610592212
192Dartmouth0.0356717246
193NC-Grnsboro0.03557251515
194La Salle0.0349047327
195Boston U0.034609748-5
196Siena0.034482235-12
197Valparaiso0.03415518-24
198Old Dominion0.033293987-9
199Northeastrn0.0332841146
200IL-Chicago0.032848139-19
201Tarleton State0.031918751-19
202Marshall0.031768301-37
203Fairfield0.031126761-8
204Quinnipiac0.030425424-13
205Elon0.03011729615
206Longwood0.0284620214
207Oral Roberts0.0283302246
208Indiana St0.028169576-14
209Mt St Marys0.027625887-3
210Troy0.02598723840
211E Kentucky0.0253922166
212Fla Gulf Cst0.0253609197
213E Tenn St0.025315794-2
214Stony Brook0.025032448-17
215Hartford0.025009603-15
216Hawaii0.024316851-2
217TX Southern0.0243128364
218Harvard0.0241279338
219CS Fullerton0.02404048215
220N Colorado0.023860268-2
221UC Irvine0.0233816378
222Niagara0.02313174111
223Sam Hous St0.0229407659
224Alcorn State0.022919906-22
225E Michigan0.0226474250
226Denver0.022012093-11
227N Illinois0.021722858-5
228Montana0.021655586-12
229S Utah0.0210908046
230Bowling Grn0.0207474540
231Duquesne0.020680601-8
232Ball State0.020422556-5
233South Dakota0.0202490126
234Manhattan0.02020260718
235Rice0.0199280843
236Portland0.0189385760
237Portland St0.01848383739
238UC Davis0.01835759423
239VA Military0.0182887744
240Jackson St0.01811936-16
241N Kentucky0.01785754631
242UMKC0.0178441748
243Lehigh0.017283483
244Albany0.01705204612
245Florida Intl0.0169897876
246S Florida0.01698158-9
247Marist0.016911743-5
248Alabama St0.016832295-7
249Maryland BC0.01610224410
250SE Missouri0.015588481-10
251Samford0.01533207419
252SE Louisiana0.0152587516
253TN Tech0.015244256-6
254Detroit0.015075044-50
255SC Upstate0.015048498-6
256Bellarmine0.014934967-28
257Kennesaw St0.0147854486
258Pepperdine0.014151734-13
259Merrimack0.01412046-28
260Pacific0.013632161-6
261Coppin State0.013195313-8
262UC Riverside0.0130463-4
263TX A&M-CC0.012799305-19
264TX-Arlington0.012794739-9
265Lafayette0.0120072448
266Georgia St0.011759019-2
267Central Mich0.01172120613
268LA Monroe0.0112139427
269Radford0.0111632912
270Austin Peay0.010964871-22
271SIU Edward0.010726386-11
272Presbyterian0.01070921214
273Miami (OH)0.010620315-16
274App State0.0105592374
275High Point0.010494777-6
276GA Southern0.010375638-9
277Binghamton0.0103119372
278Nicholls St0.010177725-12
279Rob Morris0.010159917-17
280New Orleans0.0099143043
281Mass Lowell0.00962103814
282Youngs St0.009564698-5
283Rider0.00883498616
284N Hampshire0.00862689612
285UC San Diego0.008583269-11
286San Diego0.008557991-5
287Canisius0.00822373-5
288Army0.007888503-1
289Evansville0.007768809-24
290Bryant0.007464334-6
291NC-Asheville0.007364045-3
292St Fran (PA)0.0072039912
293Cal Baptist0.0069845390
294CS Bakersfld0.006932767-5
295Wm & Mary0.006824244-10
296NC Central0.0066788547
297American0.006490253-5
298Coastal Car0.00630377812
299TN State0.006263254-1
300TN Martin0.0061566275
301Norfolk St0.0061155313
302St. Thomas (MN)0.005599422-11
303NJIT0.00557189410
304Central Conn0.005534124-7
305TX-Pan Am0.005507306-3
306N Dakota St0.0054478293
307Jacksonville0.00532952-7
308St Fran (NY)0.005096673-7
309Citadel0.00509317917
310Grambling St0.0050816514
311San Jose St0.005009249-4
312Cal Poly0.004970098-6
313NC A&T0.004899907-1
314WI-Milwkee0.004762062-6
315WI-Grn Bay0.004749048-4
316N Florida0.004658934
317NW State0.0042909346
318Chicago St0.0039872543
319Beth-Cook0.0038395010
320Maryland ES0.0038206244
321F Dickinson0.0037426949
322Idaho0.003705571-4
323AR Lit Rock0.003621504-8
324Florida A&M0.00355655-8
325Sac State0.0035423594
326Neb Omaha0.0033503697
327Bucknell0.00334778-5
328McNeese St0.0031403124
329N Arizona0.003057975-2
330Dixie State0.002951801-13
331Central Ark0.002763851-3
332Alab A&M0.0025147035
333Stetson0.0023955496
334W Michigan0.002317465-9
335Lipscomb0.002285367-4
336Sacred Hrt0.00227885-2
337W Carolina0.002265216-1
338Cal St Nrdge0.0022627772
339N Alabama0.001865287-1
340Houston Bap0.0018153546
341Maine0.0017855691
342Idaho State0.0015977686
343Incar Word0.0015501892
344Morgan St0.00146716
345Miss Val St0.001463677-4
346Columbia0.001374632-11
347Holy Cross0.0013633414
348S Mississippi0.001334687-5
349Charl South0.001294597-2
350Lamar0.001234359-6
351Ark Pine Bl0.001047682-2
352S Car State0.0008930130
353North Dakota0.0008553392
354Hampton0.0006902250
355IUPUI0.000512414-2
356E Illinois0.0003904370
357TX-San Ant0.0002964720
358Delaware St7.24211E-050

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